215 research outputs found

    Two parallel insurance lines with simultaneous arrivals and risks correlated with inter-arrival times

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    We investigate an insurance risk model that consists of two reserves which receive income at fixed rates. Claims are being requested at random epochs from each reserve and the interclaim times are generally distributed. The two reserves are coupled in the sense that at a claim arrival epoch, claims are being requested from both reserves and the amounts requested are correlated. In addition, the claim amounts are correlated with the time elapsed since the previous claim arrival. We focus on the probability that this bivariate reserve process survives indefinitely. The infinite- horizon survival problem is shown to be related to the problem of determining the equilibrium distribution of a random walk with vector-valued increments with reflecting boundary. This reflected random walk is actually the waiting time process in a queueing system dual to the bivariate ruin process. Under assumptions on the arrival process and the claim amounts, and using Wiener-Hopf factor- ization with one parameter, we explicitly determine the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the survival function, c.q., the two-dimensional equilibrium waiting time distribution. Finally, the bivariate transforms are evaluated for some examples, including for proportional reinsurance, and the bivariate ruin functions are numerically calculated using an efficient inversion scheme.Comment: 24 pages, 6 figure

    Queues and risk processes with dependencies

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    We study the generalization of the G/G/1 queue obtained by relaxing the assumption of independence between inter-arrival times and service requirements. The analysis is carried out for the class of multivariate matrix exponential distributions introduced in [12]. In this setting, we obtain the steady state waiting time distribution and we show that the classical relation between the steady state waiting time and the workload distributions re- mains valid when the independence assumption is relaxed. We also prove duality results with the ruin functions in an ordinary and a delayed ruin process. These extend several known dualities between queueing and risk models in the independent case. Finally we show that there exist stochastic order relations between the waiting times under various instances of correlation

    Queues and risk models with simultaneous arrivals

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    We focus on a particular connection between queueing and risk models in a multi-dimensional setting. We first consider the joint workload process in a queueing model with parallel queues and simultaneous arrivals at the queues. For the case that the service times are ordered (from largest in the first queue to smallest in the last queue) we obtain the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the joint stationary workload distribution. Using a multivariate duality argument between queueing and risk models, this also gives the Laplace transform of the survival probability of all books in a multivariate risk model with simultaneous claim arrivals and the same ordering between claim sizes. Other features of the paper include a stochastic decomposition result for the workload vector, and an outline how the two-dimensional risk model with a general two-dimensional claim size distribution (hence without ordering of claim sizes) is related to a known Riemann boundary value problem

    Ruin excursions, the G/G/Infinity queue and tax payments in renewal risk models

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    In this paper we investigate the number and maximum severity of the ruin excursion of the insurance portfolio reserve process in the Cramer-Lundberg model with and without tax payments. We also provide a relation of the Cramer-Lundberg risk model with the G/G/infinity queue and use it to derive some explicit ruin probability formulae. Finally, the renewal risk model with tax is considered, and an asymptotic identity is derived that in some sense extends the tax identity of the Cramer-Lundberg risk model

    Lévy-driven polling systems and continuous-state branching processes

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    In this paper we consider a ring of N = 1 queues served by a single server in a cyclic order. After having served a queue (according to a service discipline that may vary from queue to queue), there is a switch-over period and then the server serves the next queue and so forth. This model is known in the literature as a polling model. Each of the queues is fed by a non-decreasing Lévy process, which can be different during each of the consecutive periods within the server's cycle. The N-dimensional Lévy processes obtained in this fashion are described by their (joint) Laplace exponent, thus allowing for non-independent input streams. For such a system we derive the steady-state distribution of the joint workload at embedded epochs, i.e. polling and switching instants. Using the Kella-Whitt martingale, we also derive the steady-state distribution at an arbitrary epoch. Our analysis heavily relies on establishing a link between fluid (Lévy input) polling systems and multi-type Jirina processes (continuous-state discrete-time branching processes). This is done by properly defining the notion of the branching property for a discipline, which can be traced back to Fuhrmann and Resing. This definition is broad enough to contain the most important service disciplines, like exhaustive and gated

    Lévy processes with adaptable exponent

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    Convergence of the all-time supremum of a L\'evy process in the heavy-traffic regime

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    In this paper we derive a technique of obtaining limit theorems for suprema of L\'evy processes from their random walk counterparts. For each a>0a>0, let {Yn(a):n1}\{Y^{(a)}_n:n\ge 1\} be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables and {Xt(a):t0}\{X^{(a)}_t:t\ge 0\} be a L\'evy processes such that X1(a)=dY1(a)X_1^{(a)}\stackrel{d}{=} Y_1^{(a)}, EX1(a)<0\mathbb E X_1^{(a)}<0 and EX1(a)0\mathbb E X_1^{(a)}\uparrow0 as a0a\downarrow0. Let Sn(a)=k=1nYk(a)S^{(a)}_n=\sum_{k=1}^n Y^{(a)}_k. Then, under some mild assumptions, Δ(a)maxn0Sn(a)dR    Δ(a)supt0Xt(a)dR\Delta(a)\max_{n\ge 0} S_n^{(a)}\stackrel{d}{\to} R\iff\Delta(a)\sup_{t\ge 0} X^{(a)}_t\stackrel{d}{\to} R, for some random variable RR and some function Δ()\Delta(\cdot). We utilize this result to present a number of limit theorems for suprema of L\'evy processes in the heavy-traffic regime
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